Thursday, February 7, 2008

Sales at U.S. Retailers Languish on Recession Concern

(Bloomberg) -- Sales at U.S. retailers languished in January as discounts failed to lure consumers concerned that a recession is coming. Macy's Inc. and Nordstrom Inc. reported declines, while sales at Wal-Mart Stores Inc. rose less than analysts estimated.

Sales at stores open at least a year gained 0.5 percent at Wal-Mart, the retailer said today, as winter storms hurt sales in the Midwest and fewer customers redeemed gift cards. Limited Brands Inc. and Target Corp. also reported declines larger than analysts predicted.

Department stores and mall-based shops slashed prices on clothing and bedding to attract customers following the slowest holiday season since 2002. Consumers refrained from spending as median home values probably fell for the first time since the Great Depression and employers cut back on hiring.

``You're seeing the continuing unfolding of the consumer spending slowdown,'' said Ken Perkins, president of Retail Metrics LLC, a Swampscott, Massachusetts-based research firm. ``Clearance sales were widespread, there were certainly enough incentives to draw the consumer in under normal economic circumstances, but consumers are hunkering down.''

Department stores have been hit hard by a decline in customer visits to malls and a lack of new products that excite consumers, Perkins said. Nordstrom's sales sank 6.6 percent. Analysts surveyed by Retail Metrics expected a 0.4 percent decline.

Macy's, the second-biggest U.S. department-store chain, said yesterday that January same-store sales dropped 7.1 percent, cut its fourth-quarter profit forecast and said it will eliminate 2,300 jobs. Kohl's, the fourth-largest U.S. department-store chain, said same-store sales fell 8.3 percent, worse than the estimate for a 7.9 percent drop.

Share Performance

Wal-Mart, the world's largest retailer, rose 7 cents to $48.90 at 9:41 a.m. in composite trading at the New York Stock Exchange. The Standard & Poor's 500 Retailing Index of 31 members rose 2.3 percent. It has slumped 5.1 percent this year before today compared with a 9.7 percent decline by the broader S&P 500.

January sales at U.S. retailers probably were unchanged, the International Council of Shopping Centers said on Feb. 5. That would be the first month without a gain since last April.

Last month will probably turn out to be the worst January performance on record, said Michael Niemira, the New York-based trade group's chief economist. The ICSC surveys almost 60 chains and will report figures later today.

Same-store sales are seen as a key gauge of a retailer's performance because they exclude locations that have recently opened or closed.

Limited Brands

Sales dropped 8 percent at Limited Brands, owner of the Victoria's Secret chain. The sales decrease exceeded the average analyst estimate for a decline of 7.1 percent. American Eagle Outfitters Inc. said yesterday that same-store sales fell 7 percent.

Wal-Mart had predicted a January same-store sales gain of 2 percent, the same as the average Retail Metrics estimate.

Target Corp., the second-largest U.S. discount chain, reported a 1.1 percent decline. It had said Jan. 21 it expected January sales to be ``near the low end'' of its forecast range of a 1 percent decrease to a 1 percent gain.

Other retailers performed better than analysts expected.

Children's Place Retail Stores Inc. reported a 6 percent same-store sales increase, ahead of the 3.6 percent estimated gain. AnnTaylor Stores Corp., a women's clothing retailer, said sales were unchanged from a year earlier, better than the estimated 3.7 percent decline. Chief Executive Officer Kay Krill said in the statement it was ``promotionally aggressive'' to clear inventory.
 

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